SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Primorje win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Primorje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Primorje | Draw | Nafta |
38.4% ( -0.62) | 25.12% ( 0.14) | 36.48% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.6) | 46.23% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.57) | 68.53% ( 0.57) |
| Primorje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.59) | 23.78% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -0.85) | 57.93% ( 0.85) |
| Nafta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.01) | 24.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( -0.02) | 59.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Primorje | Draw | Nafta |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.48% |
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