SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Primorje win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Primorje | Draw | Celje |
24.1% ( -0.23) | 22.98% ( -0.14) | 52.92% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% ( 0.39) | 42.85% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.39) | 65.25% ( -0.39) |
| Primorje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0.02) | 31.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( 0.02) | 67.85% ( -0.03) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.27) | 16.2% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( 0.49) | 45.68% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Primorje | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.1% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.92% |
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