SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NS Mura |
64.92% ( -0.11) | 20.11% ( 0.05) | 14.97% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.11) | 43.57% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( -0.11) | 65.96% ( 0.11) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( -0.06) | 12.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.2% ( -0.13) | 38.8% ( 0.14) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.01) | 41.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.92% ( 0.01) | 78.08% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NS Mura |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 64.91% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.97% |
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