SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
44.53% ( 0.09) | 24.68% ( -0.02) | 30.79% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.05) | 45.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.05) | 68.01% ( -0.05) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.06) | 20.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( 0.1) | 53.15% ( -0.09) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.02) | 28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.03) | 63.64% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.79% |
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