SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Koper in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Koper |
27.13% ( -1.86) | 25.07% ( -0.71) | 47.8% ( 2.56) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( 1.83) | 49.41% ( -1.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 1.62) | 71.45% ( -1.63) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.46) | 32.53% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( -0.52) | 69.06% ( 0.51) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 1.9) | 20.7% ( -1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( 2.91) | 53.3% ( -2.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Koper |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.69) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.13% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.79% |
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