SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | Celje |
33.69% ( -0.32) | 24.95% ( 0.2) | 41.35% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.99) | 45.91% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.94) | 68.22% ( 0.94) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.66) | 26.27% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( -0.89) | 61.39% ( 0.89) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0.37) | 22.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( -0.56) | 55.55% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.35% |
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