SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adana Demirspor in this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
55.95% ( -0.69) | 21.68% ( 0.23) | 22.37% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 59.74% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.51) | 38.78% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% ( -0.55) | 61.09% ( 0.55) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( -0.38) | 13.78% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( -0.76) | 41.1% ( 0.76) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.12) | 30.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.14) | 66.96% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.83% Total : 22.37% |
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