SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Gaziantep |
53.54% ( 4) | 22.95% ( -0.86) | 23.51% ( -3.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( 1) | 43.34% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( 0.98) | 65.74% ( -0.98) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( 1.84) | 16.16% ( -1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.39% ( 3.25) | 45.61% ( -3.25) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( -2) | 32.25% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( -2.33) | 68.74% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.65)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.48)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.43)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.61)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.55% Total : 23.51% |
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