SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Kasimpasa |
53.43% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( 0.01) | 23.65% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.04) | 43.03% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.04) | 65.43% ( 0.04) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( -0.01) | 16.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( -0.02) | 45.48% ( 0.02) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( -0.03) | 31.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% ( -0.04) | 68.41% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.43% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 23.65% |
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