SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
26.83% ( 0.1) | 22.19% ( 0.04) | 50.98% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.13% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% ( -0.13) | 36.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0.14) | 58.76% ( 0.14) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0) | 26.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( 0) | 61.11% ( 0) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( -0.09) | 14.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.26% ( -0.17) | 42.74% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.83% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 50.98% |
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