SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
29.56% ( 0.05) | 22.02% ( 0.04) | 48.42% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.02% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.18) | 33.75% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.42% ( -0.2) | 55.58% ( 0.2) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.06) | 22.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.09) | 56.56% ( 0.09) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.09) | 14.44% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.61% ( -0.18) | 42.39% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 48.42% |
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