SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
25.82% ( -0.13) | 22.48% ( -0.03) | 51.69% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.06% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.1% ( 0.01) | 38.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( 0.01) | 61.21% ( -0.01) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.1) | 27.99% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.12) | 63.63% ( 0.12) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( 0.06) | 15.2% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( 0.11) | 43.84% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 25.82% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.69% |
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