SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Trabzonspor |
60.51% ( -0.54) | 20.37% ( 0.16) | 19.12% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.79% ( -0.13) | 37.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% ( -0.14) | 59.41% ( 0.14) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( -0.19) | 11.95% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.66% ( -0.4) | 37.33% ( 0.4) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.31) | 32.85% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( 0.35) | 69.41% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.21% Total : 60.51% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.12% |
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