SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
45.01% ( 0.13) | 26.02% ( -0.06) | 28.97% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.2) | 52.23% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( 0.17) | 73.93% ( -0.17) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 0.15) | 23.13% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( 0.21) | 57% ( -0.21) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( 0.05) | 32.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( 0.05) | 69.14% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.97% |
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