Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.