Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
