SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Alanyaspor |
52.91% ( -0.04) | 22.32% ( 0.01) | 24.77% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0) | 39.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.52% ( -0.01) | 61.49% ( 0.01) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0.01) | 14.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.03) | 43.25% ( 0.03) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( 0.02) | 28.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( 0.03) | 64.82% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 4.05% Total : 52.91% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 24.77% |
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