Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.