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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2021 at 6pm UK
 
IB

Karagumruk
3 - 1
Istanbul

Bertolacci (19', 30'), Balkovec (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Aleksic (84')
Lima (35'), Ponck (64'), Tekdemir (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
35.09%25.26%39.65%
Both teams to score 56.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73%69.26%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51%23.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48%57.52%
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 35.09%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 39.65%
    Draw 25.26%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.65%

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