Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.