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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
2 - 5
Fenerbahce

Topalli (48', 67')
Ebert (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batshuayi (18' pen., 49', 88'), Kahveci (36'), Valencia (86')
Aziz (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Istanbulspor
Friday, October 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-3 Rennes
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Istanbulspor 0-2 Fenerbahce

After a testing fixture in Europe, we would not expect Fenerbahce to be at their scoring best but they should have enough quality to beat an Istanbulspor side under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
13.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 20.18% (0.0039999999999978 0) 65.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.15% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)46.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.026 -0.03)68.33% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)44.58% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.6% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 13.94%
    Fenerbahce 65.88%
    Draw 20.18%
IstanbulsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 20.18%
0-2 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.15%
1-4 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 65.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Istanbulspor
Friday, October 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Istanbulspor
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Ankaragucu
Saturday, October 8 at 12.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Istanbulspor
Monday, October 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-2 Besiktas
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-3 Rennes
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-3 Fenerbahce
Monday, October 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-4 Karagumruk
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-0 Larnaca
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League


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