Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
