SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Sivasspor |
73.07% ( 0.62) | 16.44% ( -0.25) | 10.49% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.1) | 37.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0.1) | 59.99% ( -0.1) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.04% ( 0.17) | 8.95% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.43% ( 0.4) | 30.56% ( -0.4) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.62) | 44.98% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( -0.5) | 80.92% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.18% Total : 73.06% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.91% Total : 16.44% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.49% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
