Despite losing in the cup, Antalyaspor have enjoyed a positive run of form in the league, while Sivasspor have lost their last two Super Lig matches.
With the two sides separated by just two points, we expect Sunday's contest to be close, but we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage to claim all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Antalyaspor in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Antalyaspor.
