Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fatih Karagumruk in this match.