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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
A

Besiktas
1 - 1
Alanyaspor

Silva (7')
Topraktepe (0'), Erhan Hekimoglu (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lima (5')
Lima (68'), Ozdemir (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-0 Gaziantep
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Besiktas 1-1 Alanyaspor

It is a tricky tie for Besiktas, who saw their stock drop further after the loss to bottom-placed Adana, despite the victory over Fenerbahce in the previous week. Given Alanyaspor's resurgence under Ugurlu, we believe that the visitors currently have enough to pick up a positive result in this clash, which is why we are predicting a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawAlanyaspor
52.83% (0.941 0.94) 23.06% (-0.257 -0.26) 24.11% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.496 0.5)43.22% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38% (0.485 0.48)65.62% (-0.48299999999999 -0.48)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.518 0.52)16.36% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.927 0.93)45.98% (-0.926 -0.93)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (-0.298 -0.3)31.67% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.344 -0.34)68.08% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 52.83%
    Alanyaspor 24.11%
    Draw 23.06%
BesiktasDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.67% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 24.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-1 Besiktas
Monday, December 16 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-1 Besiktas
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Besiktas
Monday, December 2 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 2-4 Goztepe SK
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-0 Gaziantep
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, December 8 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Bodrumspor 0-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, November 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-2 Antalyaspor
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig


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