Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Besiktas | Draw | Alanyaspor |
52.83% ( 0.94) | 23.06% ( -0.26) | 24.11% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.78% ( 0.5) | 43.22% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% ( 0.48) | 65.62% ( -0.48) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.63% ( 0.52) | 16.36% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.01% ( 0.93) | 45.98% ( -0.93) |
Alanyaspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.33% ( -0.3) | 31.67% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% ( -0.34) | 68.08% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Besiktas | Draw | Alanyaspor |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 24.11% |
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