Besiktas have drawn 11 league games this season, and we think that they will experience another drawn contest on Saturday when they come up against an Alanyaspor side who are determined to hold onto their top-four spot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
