SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
36.84% ( 0.01) | 23.6% ( 0) | 39.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.01) | 38.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.01) | 61.25% ( 0.01) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.75% | 54.25% ( 0) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( -0.01) | 20.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.8% ( -0.01) | 52.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 39.55% |
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