SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
42.61% ( -0.35) | 24.4% ( 0) | 32.98% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.1) | 43.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.1) | 65.96% ( -0.1) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( -0.12) | 20.57% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( -0.19) | 53.1% ( 0.19) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.26) | 25.57% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( 0.35) | 60.44% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.98% |
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