SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
43.27% ( -0.69) | 24.14% ( 0.2) | 32.59% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.77) | 42.48% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% ( -0.77) | 64.88% ( 0.77) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.61) | 19.83% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( -1) | 51.91% ( 1) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.08) | 25.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( -0.1) | 60.05% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.59% |
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