SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
37.04% ( -0.21) | 24.55% ( 0.24) | 38.41% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( -1.14) | 43.53% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( -1.13) | 65.92% ( 1.13) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( -0.63) | 23.27% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( -0.93) | 57.2% ( 0.93) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.52) | 22.57% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( -0.78) | 56.16% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.04% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.41% |
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