SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
64.5% ( -0.08) | 20.13% ( 0.01) | 15.36% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( 0.07) | 42.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( 0.07) | 65.29% ( -0.07) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0) | 12.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.38% ( -0) | 38.62% ( 0) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.14) | 40.65% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 0.12) | 77.24% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.33% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.36% |
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