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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
3 - 3
Ankaragucu

Piatek (14', 27'), Figueiredo (75')
Tekdemir (69'), Dennis (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sowe (2'), Pedrinho (20'), Cigerci (59')
Belozoglu (0')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-0 Istanbul
Sunday, October 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, October 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Ankaragucu

Basaksehir have struggled at the top end of the pitch of late, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet here en route to a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawAnkaragucu
41.16% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.7% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.29% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)73.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)59.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)65.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 41.16%
    Ankaragucu 32.7%
    Draw 26.13%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-0 Istanbul
Sunday, October 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-0 Istanbul
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Gaziantep
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Istanbul
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Istanbul
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-2 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, October 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 3-0 Kayserispor
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Konyaspor
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-3 Ankaragucu
Monday, September 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig


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