SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Fatih Karagumruk | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Antalyaspor | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Giresunspor | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 5 | -8 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Giresunspor |
54.22% ( 0.76) | 23.5% ( -0.1) | 22.28% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.27) | 47.08% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( -0.26) | 69.32% ( 0.25) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( 0.17) | 17.27% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.41% ( 0.31) | 47.59% ( -0.31) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.76) | 35.42% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% ( -0.8) | 72.18% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Giresunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 54.22% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.28% |
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