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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
4 - 1
Kayserispor

Rohden (23', 38', 41'), Lasagna (52')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Boa Morte (45+2')
Ozbek (57'), Ucar (58'), Ali Kaldirim (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Samsunspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Kayserispor

Both Karagumruk and Kayserispor have struggled in front of goal, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair here. That said, we are tipping the visitors to narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
54.79% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 22.95% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 22.27% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.081000000000003 0.08)44.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.077000000000005 0.08)67.06% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (0.107 0.11)45.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.79% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 54.78%
    Kayserispor 22.27%
    Draw 22.94%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 6 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-3 Gaziantep
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, December 9 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor
Sunday, January 7 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-0 Kayserispor
Sunday, December 24 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-4 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, December 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-0 Pendikspor
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, December 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, November 26 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig


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