SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kayserispor |
54.79% ( 0.09) | 22.95% ( -0.03) | 22.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( 0.08) | 44.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( 0.08) | 67.06% ( -0.08) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( 0.06) | 16.2% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.3% ( 0.11) | 45.69% ( -0.11) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( -0) | 34.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( -0.01) | 70.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 54.78% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.27% |
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