SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
67.35% ( -0.49) | 18.21% ( 0.34) | 14.44% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.21% ( -1.33) | 35.79% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.13% ( -1.49) | 57.87% ( 1.49) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% ( -0.47) | 9.79% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.47% ( -1.11) | 32.53% ( 1.12) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.67) | 37.42% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% ( -0.66) | 74.2% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.35% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.21% | 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.44% |
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