SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
59.05% ( 0.2) | 22.63% ( -0.06) | 18.32% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( 0.05) | 48.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.04) | 70.64% ( -0.04) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.08) | 16.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( 0.15) | 45.47% ( -0.15) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.13) | 40.36% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.02% ( -0.12) | 76.98% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 59.05% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.32% |
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