SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbulspor |
56.45% ( -0.12) | 22.49% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( 0.1) | 44.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( 0.1) | 66.55% ( -0.09) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0) | 15.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.69% ( -0.01) | 44.31% ( 0.01) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( 0.16) | 34.96% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( 0.17) | 71.7% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbulspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.45% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 5.68% 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 21.05% |
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