Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result | ||
Fenerbahce | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
69.41% ( -0.55) | 17.26% ( 0.22) | 13.33% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.21% ( -0.25) | 33.78% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.38% ( -0.29) | 55.62% ( 0.29) |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.22% ( -0.19) | 8.78% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.86% ( -0.45) | 30.13% ( 0.46) |
Caykur Rizespor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% ( 0.31) | 37.64% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( 0.3) | 74.42% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 69.41% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.33% |
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