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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Gaziantep

Dzeko (3', 18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kizildag (45+5')
Maxim (19'), Markovic (20'), Gradel (42'), Gunes (42+42'), Soyalp (59'), Eskihellac (77')
Maxim (23')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Maribor
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Istanbulspor
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-1 Gaziantep

Gaziantep have some talented attacking players and could cause Fenerbahce problems in isolated moments on Sunday, but it is likely to take them time to gel together after being out of competitive action for six months. The hosts, on the other hand, will want to hit the ground running ahead of a potential title charge, and we can envisage them bagging a relatively comfortable victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 5.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 4-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawGaziantep
83.82% (-0.622 -0.62) 10.53% (0.356 0.36) 5.65% (0.267 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.29% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.45% (-0.67 -0.67)25.55% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.37% (-0.874 -0.87)45.63% (0.875 0.88)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.66% (-0.211 -0.21)4.33% (0.2109 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.07% (-0.666 -0.67)17.93% (0.667 0.67)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.57% (0.296 0.3)47.43% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.19% (0.219 0.22)82.81% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 83.81%
    Gaziantep 5.65%
    Draw 10.53%
FenerbahceDrawGaziantep
3-0 @ 10.59% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 8.31% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 6.2% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 5.22% (-0.187 -0.19)
5-1 @ 3.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.73% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
6-1 @ 2.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.22% (-0.085 -0.09)
7-1 @ 0.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 83.81%
1-1 @ 4.81% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.06% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 10.53%
1-2 @ 1.79% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 1.53% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 5.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Maribor
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zimbru 0-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-0 Zimbru
Wednesday, July 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 0-1 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Red Star
Wednesday, July 12 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Zenit 0-0 Fenerbahce
Sunday, July 9 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Istanbulspor
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Konyaspor
Sunday, April 16 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-0 Gaziantep
Sunday, April 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 3-0 Gaziantep
Sunday, March 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, March 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-0 Gaziantep
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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