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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
T

Galatasaray
2 - 1
Trabzonspor

Mertens (18'), Icardi (53' pen.)
Nelsson (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez (1')
Elmali (20'), Trezeguet (51'), Gbamin (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Umraniyespor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Trabzonspor

Given the length of their winning streak, it is simply unrealistic to back against Galatasaray right now. While we expect Trabzonspor to push their hosts, they have not shown enough this campaign to suggest that they can get over the line versus the leaders on away territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawTrabzonspor
59.78% (0.61199999999999 0.61) 21.03% (0.073 0.07) 19.19% (-0.681 -0.68)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-1.477 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.83% (-1.383 -1.38)40.18% (1.386 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.46% (-1.444 -1.44)62.55% (1.447 1.45)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (-0.259 -0.26)13.08% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (-0.532 -0.53)39.69% (0.535 0.53)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-1.499 -1.5)34.52% (1.501 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-1.626 -1.63)71.24% (1.63 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 59.78%
    Trabzonspor 19.19%
    Draw 21.03%
GalatasarayDrawTrabzonspor
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.41 0.41)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.49 0.49)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 59.78%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.283 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.03%
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Umraniyespor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Giresunspor 0-4 Galatasaray
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, January 21 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 4-0 Hatayspor
Friday, January 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, January 8 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Ankaragucu
Wednesday, January 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-0 Istanbulspor
Sunday, January 22 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 5-0 Trabzonspor
Monday, January 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 3-0 Giresunspor
Thursday, January 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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