SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Galatasaray |
54.32% ( -0.12) | 23.3% ( -0.01) | 22.38% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.18) | 46.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0.17) | 68.42% ( -0.16) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 0.03) | 16.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.09% ( 0.04) | 46.92% ( -0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.22) | 34.79% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.23) | 71.53% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.31% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.38% |
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