SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
30.45% ( 0.33) | 24% ( 0.04) | 45.55% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.01) | 65.16% ( 0.01) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.21) | 26.76% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0.28) | 62.04% ( -0.28) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.16) | 18.97% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( -0.26) | 50.5% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 45.55% |
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