Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Gaziantep Arena
We said: Gaziantep 2-1 Caykur Rizespor
There is not an awful lot for either side to play for heading into this match, and there is also not too much between the two sides in terms of quality. Gaziantep have been so strong at home this season, though, so we have had to back them to finish their campaign with a victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
| Result |
| Gaziantep | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
53.54% ( 0.25) | 23.36% ( -0.05) | 23.1% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.1) |
| 54.42% ( -0.01) | 45.57% ( 0.01) |
| 32.1% ( -0.01) | 67.9% ( 0.01) |
| 83.04% ( 0.08) | 16.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.94% ( 0.15) | 47.06% ( -0.15) |
| 66.17% ( -0.19) | 33.83% ( 0.19) |
