With Gaziantep low on confidence after a four-game winless run, they would have preferred a slightly easier test on Friday than a Fenerbahce side that are in a rich vein of form, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to clinch a seventh consecutive league victory as they bid to keep hold of second place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Gaziantep
74.2%	16.32%	9.47%

Both teams to score 46.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.57%

40.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.18%

62.81%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.63%

9.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.46%

31.54%

Gaziantep Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.18%

48.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.18%

83.82%

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 74.2%

Gaziantep 9.47%

Draw 16.32%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Gaziantep
2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 10.82% 3-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 5.99% 4-1 @ 4.3% 5-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.6% 5-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.54% 6-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.55% Total : 74.2%	1-1 @ 7.76% 0-0 @ 4.57% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.69% Total : 16.32%	0-1 @ 3.28% 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.47%