We said: Yeni Malatyaspor 2-3 Caykur Rizespor
Caykur Rizespor could come in with confidence following their big win last time out, while Yeni Malatyaspor have fought bravely recently, and we envisage an exciting and high-scoring affair.
Ultimately, we do not see the struggling hosts taking a share of the spoils, but they should play their part in an entertaining contest.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.