Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hatayspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
48.88% ( 0.06) | 24.5% ( 0.03) | 26.62% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.64% ( -0.19) | 47.36% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.42% ( -0.18) | 69.58% ( 0.18) |
Hatayspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( -0.05) | 19.43% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( -0.09) | 51.26% ( 0.09) |
Giresunspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( -0.17) | 31.85% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% ( -0.2) | 68.29% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Hatayspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.62% |
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