Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Umraniyespor | Draw | Hatayspor |
50.61% ( 1.45) | 25.1% ( -0.23) | 24.29% ( -1.22) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.33% ( -0.07) | 51.67% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.55% ( -0.06) | 73.45% ( 0.06) |
Umraniyespor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( 0.58) | 20.42% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( 0.91) | 52.86% ( -0.92) |
Hatayspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% ( -1.1) | 36.12% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% ( -1.13) | 72.9% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Umraniyespor | Draw | Hatayspor |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.29% |
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