SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Gaziantep | Draw | Fenerbahce |
20.28% ( 0.65) | 21.84% ( 0.42) | 57.87% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.95) | 42.29% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( -0.96) | 64.69% ( 0.96) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.11) | 34.64% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( 0.11) | 71.36% ( -0.11) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0.64) | 14.35% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.78% ( -1.26) | 42.21% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gaziantep | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.28% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 6.06% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.87% |
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