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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2021 at 1pm UK
Doganlar Stadium

Goztepe SK
0 - 1
Karagumruk


Emir (81'), Lourency (90'), Nwobodo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erkin (76')
Bekaroglu (51')

We said: Goztepe SK 1-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Both Goztepe and Karagumruk have struggled defensively so far this season, conceding a combined 49 league goals, so we can see both teams finding the net this weekend. Even though the two sides will view this fixture as a winnable game, there is little to separate them, so a score draw could be on the cards at the Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Goztepe SKDrawFatih Karagumruk
49.76%24.41%25.84%
Both teams to score 54.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Goztepe SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85%19.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19%50.81%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42%32.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88%69.12%
Score Analysis
    Goztepe SK 49.75%
    Fatih Karagumruk 25.84%
    Draw 24.4%
Goztepe SKDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.75%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 25.84%

Read more!
Read more!


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